STAT 443Forecasting
- Units
- 0.50
- Faculty
- Mathematics
- Subject
- Statistics
When it runs
- F24
- W25
- S25
- F25
- W26
- S26
- F26
- W27
- S27
Ran in 7 of the last 7 terms. Winter 2027: scheduled, 2 lecture sections. Spring 2027: schedule not out yet.
Modelling techniques for forecasting time series data: smoothing methods, regression including penalty/regularization methods, the Box-Jenkins framework, stationary and non-stationary processes, both with and without seasonal effects. Other topics may include: ARCH/GARCH models, Bayesian methods, dynamic linear models, Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation, spectral density analysis, and periodograms.
Prerequisites
Antirequisites
Leads to
No course lists it as a requisite.
Fall 2026 sections
| Section | Class | Enrolled | Meets |
|---|---|---|---|
| LEC 001 | 6027 | 52 / 120 | MW 14:30–15:50 |
| TUT 101 | 6591 | 52 / 120 | F 15:30–16:20 |
Winter 2027 sections
| Section | Class | Enrolled | Meets |
|---|---|---|---|
| LEC 001 | 5593 | 0 / 200 | MW 08:30–09:50 |
| LEC 701 | 2225 | 105 / 9999 | Online or by arrangement |
Reviewed on UW Flow
66% liked it60% easy86% useful
From 68 ratings and 19 comments on UW Flow. The most helpful comments, quoted as written, without names. Read them all on UW Flow.
Useful, but difficult. Very very very heavy workload.
Apr 2024 · liked it · 1 found this helpfulOn UW FlowRemove this
Not that bad other than the group project. Thought we were done with things like that after first year :P
Nov 2015 · didn’t like it · 1 found this helpfulOn UW FlowRemove this
Very practical course. Despite the not easy comment, the midterm was pretty easy and assignments aren't too hard, the rating is more because the content is much higher level.
Mar 2014 · liked it · 1 found this helpfulOn UW FlowRemove this
Very good course content. However avoid Reza at all cost. He might be funny or seems friendly. But extremely hard exams with no curving at all. Avoid Reza at all cost. Not at all worth it.
May 2026 · didn’t like itOn UW FlowRemove this
Extremely hard final without curve at all. If you want good mark, AVOID him!!!!!!!!!
May 2026 · didn’t like itOn UW FlowRemove this
Discussed on r/uwaterloo
294 posts and comments in 237 threads mention STAT 443, May 2015 to December 2024. Quoted word for word, newest first; each reply sits under the post and the comment that started its branch. Search r/uwaterloo for newer posts.
Fall 2024
Stat 431, 443 8 points, 2 comments
u/DidYouTrainNeckToday: “Hey, has anyone taken both of Stat 431 and Stat 443 and can comment on any overlap and usefulness? Thanks.”
STAT 443 13 points, 3 comments
u/Adorable_Welcome_906: “How was it guys? I feel like I'll be reliant on a curve.”
ECON 423 vs STAT 443 5 points, 2 comments
u/SheepherderOdd9017: “Econ 423 - time series econometrics https://uwflow.com/course/econ423 Stat 443 - Forecasting https://uwflow.com/course/stat443 these two courses looks very similar, have anyone take these courses? which one is more useful or easier? which one is more recommend?”
u/Agreeable-Air-5080: “My guess would be stat443 is harder and possibly more useful - but I haven’t taken these, although I plan on taking stat443. I’d recommend also looking into AFM423”
Manageable Course Load 1 point, 1 comment
u/DidYouTrainNeckToday: “Going into 4a. How realistic/manageable is this course load: CO452, CO481, CO463, STAT443, MTHEL300.?For context I didn't take advanced courses in first/second year and I'm about an 80% average student. Thanks.”
Easy 300/400 STATS courses for Winter 2025 term? 5 points, 4 comments
u/FewEntertainment1066: “… 431 - Generalized Linear Models and their Applications STAT 440 - Computational Inference STAT 443 - Forecasting STAT 444 - Statistical Learning - Function Estimation I hope to take a stat course that is relatively simple and easy to get high scores in. …”
Looking for stat 831/431 and 443 outlines 1 point, 1 comment
Spring 2024
Stat 443 sos 7 points, 2 comments
u/hassanjamilyeet: “I am fr dying in this course and nothing makes sense at all does anybody have like past notes or slides or literally anything thank u all so much”
ECON 421 & ECON 423 3 points, 2 comments
“Anyone taken ECON 421 (Econometrics Analysis) or ECON 423 (Time Series Econometrics) before? I heard both courses are tough but I couldn't find any resources relevant to them online. …”
u/richard--b: “… econometrics course was more rigorous than the time series course in stats (i believe its stat 443?).”
Anyone taking STAT 332 and/or STAT 342 this term? 2 points, 3 comments
“Title.”
u/Changuyen: “Im taking stat 332 and stat 443 this term”
Is anyone else struggling with Stat 443? 3 points, 5 comments
u/Deathrayer: “I don't really know what's going on in the course, is anyone else experiencing this :(”
u/Maremesscamm: “No you are the first person to find this class hard \\s https://uwflow.com/course/stat443”
Deciding between STAT 440, STAT 443, and STAT 444 7 points, 1 comment
u/jjjsun: “… For Spring 2024 term, the prof for both stat 440 and 444 is Alex Stringer, and the prof for stat 443 is Jeremy VanderDoes. …”
STAT444 VS STAT443 5 points, 0 comments
u/poeticorange: “I’m currently taking CS480 and is planning to take STAT441 and CS486 in future terms. Should I take STAT444 with Alex Stringer or STAT443 with Jeremy VanderDoes? Appreciate any advice or comments on the courses or profs.”
Check it elsewhere for Fall 2026
- Undergraduate Calendar, 2026–27The official entry
- Requirements for Fall 2026Waterloo’s requisite checker
- Schedule of Classes, Fall 2026Instructors, rooms, live seats
- Quest Class SearchWhere you enrol
- Course outlinesSyllabi from past terms (UW login)
- UW FlowStudent ratings and reviews
- WClassesPast sections back to 2004, and who taught them